On reflection, the Covid years haven’t bothered me much. I worked through the first year, which helped retain some semblance of normality. The second year, I retired into it, and the restrictions were irksome for a time, but the local area provided sufficient diversion as things eased, and I’ve enjoyed walking, exploring Bowland and the Dales with the camera. Covid’s still around, of course, but that story has moved on, and no one’s really talking about it any more.
There are some who haven’t been so lucky. Even if you’ve avoided catching it, certain types have been plunged by fear of Covid, and by media reporting of it into an anxiety-induced agoraphobia. While others are out shopping and pubbing, the anxious ones are still shirking company. Supermarkets, pubs, and restaurants, are still a long way away off for them. We, who are inching ourselves back into some semblance of normality, need to be mindful of that.
I’ve not been without a touch of neuroticism over Covid myself. I remember now I helped pull a woman from the river, after she’d fallen in. She was freezing cold, and really struggling to get out, and I had to get a good grip, so to speak, all of which was against the very strict rules on personal contact with strangers at the time. I worried about that for days afterwards, worried about the health of the others I’d involved in the rescue, all this while it later transpired our leaders were having “bring your own booze parties”. I feel terribly foolish that I even thought about it, now.
While we hear much less about Covid, other things have rushed to fill the void. To whit, the mainstream media seem to be ratcheting up for war against a nuclear armed state. So I’m thinking about nuclear war, and it’s a long time since I did that.
I remember my father was with the Royal Observer Corps (ROC). They had a bunker up near Brindle, part of a network that covered the UK. They were there to monitor nuclear bursts, and levels of radiation. Coupled with the weather forecasts, the aim was to give HMG some element of planning around the ensuing catastrophe. He took me to see it once. Its weird concrete protuberances frightened me. It was like a ready-made grave for the duty team who would be incarcerated in it. The ROC was disbanded long before the end of the Cold War. There is no defence, no contingency, no survival, and it’s dangerous to suggest otherwise.
The bombs at Hiroshima and Nagasaki were relatively small, compared with the weapons we have now. It would take very few to reduce the UK to an uninhabitable wasteland. We seem to have forgotten this. The danger subsided for a time, but it’s growing again, and we need to resist the media of usual suspects and their crass headlines, with a different, and more nuanced narrative. In such febrile times, the last thing we need is the equivalent of a banal Twitter spat pushing things over the edge.
But since there is nothing I can do about it, I tell myself to chill out, to read novels, watch movies – preferably without guns, or bombs, or ‘f’ words in them – and to dream dreams, as if there was no suffering in the world. Of course, there is immense suffering, but, in the long ago, we were aware of only manageable doses of it. Now we drown in it. It pours from our devices with every bleeping notification – an endless symphony of sorrowful songs, and the human psyche is only capable of so much compassion before we lose our minds.
I saw a recent interview with the former general secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Mikhail Gorbchev. He spoke of the urgency of nuclear disarmament, because he says the kind of people willing to use them are still around. It was a sobering analysis. We came ever so close, during the Cuban missile crisis. It was only doubt in the mind of one Soviet officer, and his persuasiveness, that prevented the commander of his submarine from launching a nuclear torpedo against a US warship. They thought they were under attack, that world war three had started, and they should let loose Armageddon. But it was a misunderstanding, a hair’s breadth thing, so the story goes. But in a parallel dimension, the decision went the other way, and the earth is a barren cinder.
The west has been living in a blip of relative peace and security, perhaps since the later 1980s, since Gorbachev’s glasnost, and the formal ending of the Cold War. Since then, there have been good times, boom times. We have tanned our skins on the beaches of credit-card opulence, driven our SUVs with attitude up the rear end of those we see as lesser beings. But there is something in us also that seeks the periodic red-mist of war. I remember the newspapers egging on the invasion of Iraq. It seemed an easy thing to do and, given the might of the forces unleashed, it was. What came next was the disaster so many humanitarians predicted.
Thus, I pine for a more sober approach to our present predicament, for a wiser take on the inflammatory headlines of the media with its calls for even more dogs of war to be let loose than are already in the running. As if by way of reply, my phone pings with news, of today’s horrors, and what are we going to do about it? Phones were so much better in the olden days, when all you could do with them was ring people up and say hello.
We should limit our intake, do you think? Impossible, you might say. But there’s only so much we can stand. At the very least we should not be so browbeaten we are ashamed to sing, dance, and make merry, or at least switch off and read some lighter material. It does not make us bad people. What’s more important is we remain level-headed, that we might then see through the fog, as far as we possibly can, that we make sure the wasteland of our world remains in another dimension of space and time, and is never visited upon this one.
Sobering times, Michael. And reflective observations…
Insanity prevails. This is now a chess game with Ukraine as the “sacrificial pawn” providing time for developing pieces (NATO) to surround the adversary (Putin’s Russia) and squeeze, squeeze, squeeze (sanctions). Once Putin surrounded by his oligarchs and he has no place to move, advance a pawn to eight rank and get a knight to put in check. He can’t move … oligarchs in the way. Mate. (Smother’s Mate). In the meantime, Romania, Hungary, Moldova, Slovakia, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia need to buck up fortifications and military. Sweden and Finland need to join Nato. Preparation, preparation, preparation.
There are more pieces in this chess game than we know.
We need to return to basics, dealing with arms, and sending them to unstable countries is bad, and dangerous. Provoking a tiger is dangerous. Fomenting rebellion is most dangerous of all, we don’t know who or what will emerge to fill the power vacuum we might create. We might see evil, but history shows us a greater evil is often at hand. Paranoid dictators need war, and a foreign enemy to maintain control.
If you seek peace you give your crisps to the bully, anything else is a bloody nose unless you have big friends.
If we want to maintain borders we need straight talking, and we need to know where those borders are.
There is no negotiations with insane despots. Surely Hitler taught you that!!!!
I am fortunate not to have met him.
I understand negotiations are going ahead, I think it might take time, but even the 1st world war, and the cold war ended with diplomacy. Wars, such as the 2nd world war, where one side is completely obliterated are rare. Never give up on diplomacy, never give up on peace.
The diplomacy that negotiated the end of WWI set the stage for the rise of Adolf Hitler and Nazism. Diplomacy has to be “good” diplomacy … not the “bad” overly punitive measures the end of WWI brought about.
Remind me to write a popular article on the compulsive reading of news. The theme will be that most neuroses and some psychoses can be traced to the unnecessary and unhealthy habit of daily wallowing in the troubles and sins of five billion strangers. The title is ‘Gossip Unlimited’ — no, make that ‘Gossip Gone Wild.’
Jubal Harshaw
R Heinlein : Stranger in a Strange Land.
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PJ London
13 days ago
What Putin understands and a few deep in the bowels of Basel Switzerland, is that this is a war to the bitter end for control of the whole world.
If Putin loses then The western Orwellian 1984 dystopia becomes reality for 70% of the world’s surface and will be imposed on the rest, piece by piece until it rules the whole world. Phony wars and total slavery of the mind in perpetuity.
If Putin wins (and he has to defeat the US or at least its’ will to physically confront) then there is a chance for some kind of peaceful co-existence based on the principles of sovereignty and mutually beneficial exchange.
The US will be economically powerless and revert to a level of power equivalent to Portugal or maybe Brazil. It will no longer dominate or have any pressure to enforce its’ will.
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The big boys know that Russia was forced into Ukraine by the US and the Munich meeting where it was seriously discussed that Ukraine would repudiate the Budapest Treaty and resume Nuclear weapons.
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The Russian troops know that Ukraine s not the enemy, they know (and tell the Ukrainians) they are fighting the USA.
As always the USA uses proxies to fight.
I don’t know the answers, does anybody?
But I despair that the world looks on as a country and its people are being systematically and brutally annihilated.
Well, maybe the only way is to annihilate Putin before it is too late. Any takers?
As an aside, I would only be too happy to offer a spare room to a Ukrainian family, but the British Government’s visa system is so clumsy and complicated that I feel a lot of needy people are going to be held in limbo for weeks. How do I link up with persons unknown? The Scots and Welsh have other ideas. Priti Patel is not the best person to be supervising this emergency.
Yes, sadly, I’d have no confidence in whatever scheme HMG eventually came up with. It’s probably all been delegated to a fresh graduate on minimum wage, in a crumbling office, with an old PC running Windows 98.
Worrying times, indeed. Many parrallels with the 30’s, but as a wise man once said “History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce”. The worry is that we’re heading for tragedy.
The rationale for nuclear arms is that “mutually assured destruction” prevents them being used. But that assumes rational players and with Putin I don’t think that can necessarily be guaranteed. If he’s pushed into a tight corner would he push the button?
I think not, but returning to Mr Schnell’s analogy, if this is a chess game, we need to think a few moves ahead, and accept that we can’t see all the moves. Straight talking and human relationships need to be relied on, I can’t believe that Merkel is being blamed for this.
I’m so sorry Michael,
I don’t read much else on line, but I find your column interesting, and this discussion a microcosm where it is safe to consider, and perhaps understand alternative viewpoints.
I will try not to get over egged.
The trouble with democracy is that we take responsibility for everything that happens, and we think we are responsible for what happens outside our realm, whilst at the same time, others just don’t give a damn.
Always good to hear from you. My problem is that in writing about a thing I feel I’ve done my duty by it, when it’s the easiest thing to do, and really not doing anything about a thing at all.
I’m wondering if the point of life is to be aware of its shortcomings, its sufferings, of recognising those things we cannot fix, and find a way of not minding them,
Doing “not a thing” is the best thing. It is what Nato should have done, what Russia should have done, and the answer was not for Poland to send fighter jets via Germany, or America, but, at least publicly, to do nothing.
It’s hard to be proud of sitting on one’s hands, but sometimes it is the action called for.
I’m not one to hide from the sins of the U.S. like a lot of Americans, but I’m not sure we can be put front and center for this one, as per PJ London. Many countries contributed indirectly to Putin’s slow crawl forward and ballooning ego by letting him take Georgia, then Crimea.
At any rate, always fighting by proxies? I beg to differ. I don’t think proxies were involved in WWI or WWII–two world wars, in fact, begun and fought in Europe, where a third one is on the verge of starting again. This, alone, gives one food for thought, when we complain about “endless wars and conflicts” happening in other countries.
I would mention Iraq and Afghanistan and the exceedingly, even more than all the rest, useless and criminal war in Vietnam. All real men and boys dying in great numbers.
I also am suspicious of those who appear and spread opinions and/or information in blogs from profiles that can’t be identified in any manner. Statements made above parallel Russian State news commentary.
At any rate, your last paragraph says it all, for me. “Never visited upon this one.” Indeed. Let it be.
I think PJ London is a conspiracy junky. I prefer cock up. USA need have no guilt for Russia to feel threatened, and more so for Putin to feel got at. What USA sees as a noble brotherly defence of a weaker country, can be seen by Russia as an expansionist threat, and likely to bring an end to assured mutual destruction.
It is however no cock up, I believe, that USA seeks to foment rebellion in Russia, and this may be the bigger threat. They are doing quite well, and Putin appears to be playing into their hands, but do you think anyone can see 3 moves ahead in this game?
Argument ad hominem is a very poor and barren tactic. I note you have used it 3 times against me.
If you wish to present a point of view to counter anything I say then please do so. To merely dismiss without offering any counter information or logical refutation shows your lack of knowledge and dishonesty.
I have ignored your earlier insults out of respect for Michael and his blog. I will ignore your future ones for the same reason.
Michael, I apologise for being irritated by this person and his lack of good manners.
No insult was ever intended sir. Sometimes I agree with you, and sometimes I don’t, there need be no offence. “Conspiracy junky” was my attempt at metaphor. I have been called worse and would not take it personally. I speak not of great knowledge, but from understanding of human intentions and habits.
“It is a MIC war so that billions can be transferred from the US (and UK) taxpayer to the pockets of the managers and shareholders of the weapons companies.”
I simply don’t believe this. I think life is more complicated, and I think, even bad people’s, actions are emotion driven as well as driven by money and self interest.
Both WW1 and WW2 were already decided before USA committed troops. In Asia, Japan was in retreat from the British Indian army and from (primarily) the communist Chinese army. The German army was destroyed on the Eastern Front and in retreat from 42 onwards. USA was happy to send weapons and cash as a loan but it was only once the wars were won that the expeditionary forces were sent.
Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, all were fought with Proxies whilst the USA made huge profits by getting US tax-payers to fund the weapons used.
The only war which USA entered without Proxies was against Granada. The USA won because all 3 police men went fishing that afternoon.
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“Over the course of war from 1965 1973, eight million tons of bombs were dropped, threefold WW II tonnage, around 300 tons for every Vietnamese man, woman, and child.
Cambodia was bombed with over 500,000 tons of ordnance until August 1973.
About 600,000 deaths followed, mostly civilians, helping Khmer Rouge elements gain power in 1975.
A 1962 Geneva Accord recognized Laos as a neutral state, banning foreign military personnel from its territory.
Reality was much different. From 1965 1973, America flew around 580,000 sorties, dropping over two million tons of ordinance, the equivalent of a planeload of bombs every eight minutes round-the-clock for nine years.”
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It is a MIC war so that billions can be transferred from the US (and UK) taxpayer to the pockets of the managers and shareholders of the weapons companies.
You’re probably addressing Michael (?), but that makes sense (conspiracy theories), etc. And I agree the US is definitely fanning the flames of rebellion in Russia, which is pretty idiotic, considering the stakes. I think no one’s looking three moves ahead. I think everyone needs to brush up on their chess game, because they’re rusty beyond recall and seemingly almost completely ego-driven.